The good news is that emerging economies in Asia, Latin America, and Africa are set to boom in the coming decades. The bad news though – if you’re a deluded environmental activist – is that their growing energy needs cannot possibly be met by renewable energy, as their large and growing populations invest in infrastructure and housing. The world’s “insatiable demand” for energy will instead have to be met by an increased use of coal, the International Energy Agency admits. Coal’s share of the global energy mix will continue rising, with coal closing in on oil as world’s top energy source by 2017.
Going “fossil free” is mathematically impossible. Electricity consumption has increased by an average of 450 terawatt-hours (a terawatt-hour is one trillion watt-hours) per year, over the past two and half decades – equivalent to one Brazil (which used 485 terawatt-hours of electricity in 2010) to the electricity sector every year. And global electricity use is expected to continue growing at this rate until 2035.
But all the wind turbines in the world produced only 437 terrawatt hours of electricity in 2011. Just to keep up with demand means would mean that the world would have to install the total existing wind-generating capacity every year – which means there would be no agricultural land left before long.
Solar is even more useless. Germany only produces 19 terrawatt-hours of electricity. To keep up with global electricity demand the world would have to install about 23 times as much solar-energy capacity as now exists in Germany, and it would have to do so year after year.
Given how impracticable and expensive renewables are, it’s not surprising the IEA forecasts that Asia’s demand for coal will rise by 1 billion tonnes each year by 2017; equal to the entire consumption of the US and Russia today. China generates 83% of its power from coal. India, whose coal use is rising 6.3% a year, will be the world’s largest importer of seaborne coal by 2016.
Unencumbered by green notions and fallacies, China is also investing heavily in nuclear power, besides hoping to replicate America’s shale gas revolution, which has enabled the US to significantly reduce coal consumption. It is building 197 new nuclear power plants in the next decade.
At least the US is not hellbent on pricing itself out of manufacturing, as Europe is, and will be able to compete with countries like Indonesia and Mexico, which will have outstripped Germany and the UK by 2050, according to PricewaterhouseCoopers. Many of its “Next 11″ are among the most populous countries in the world: Bangladesh, Egypt, Indonesia, Iran, South Korea, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Philippines, Turkey and Vietnam. They will all be building a brighter future using fossil fuels.




Starbucks makes one of the emptiest threats in the history of business
Starbucks must think the British government is incredibly stupid. This is not necessarily a crazy assumption, but it’s hard to believe that David Cameron is going to abandon his mission to tackle tax-avoidance in Britain by large multinationals just because Starbucks threatens to suspend millions of pounds of investment in Britain, as the Telegraph reports.
Even if Starbucks threatened to pull out of the UK entirely it still wouldn’t be a threat. Obviously, as long as there is a market for coffee chains in Britain, a competitor would simply take their place.
It is time to call Starbucks’ bluff and send them packing. Its troubles are only a sign of things to come for corporate tax avoiders, as George Osborne, Britain’s chancellor of the exchequer is likely to find the G8 countries receptive to the idea of a war on tax havens, given the state of their finances.
Something tells me though that Starbucks won’t abandon the UK market to the competition, come hell or high water.