- Index Investing: The Fallout
- Joy of Charts
- BoA ML Fund Manager Survey
- Canadian Economy
- Central Europe’s Special Hell
- China: Boom to Bust?
- Euro: Breaking Up Isn’t Easy
- Fund Flows
- Obama’s Approval Rating
- Renewable Energy
- Spanish Economy
- St Louis Fed Economic Charts
- The Economist’s Big Mac Index
- The Stock Market
- UK Economy
- US Banks
- US Economy
- US Property Market
- VIX Volatility Index
- Subprime Mortgage Scandal
- US economic charts
TagsAsia banks bond market bond markets Brazil Canada CFTC China clean energy climate coal commodities consumer Deutsche Bank ECB electric cars EPA ETF EU Euro France Germany global warming Goldman Sachs Greece housing Hypo Real Estate Ireland Italy Japan manufacturing Morgan Stanley mutual funds Obama oil Portugal regulation retail sovereign debt crisis Spain UK Unemployment US Wall St WTO
Category Archives: Companies
By Mart | Published: January 27, 2013
Starbucks must think the British government is incredibly stupid. This is not necessarily a crazy assumption, but it’s hard to believe that David Cameron is going to abandon his mission to tackle tax-avoidance in Britain by large multinationals just because Starbucks threatens to suspend millions of pounds of investment in Britain.
By Mart | Published: December 11, 2012
Rising wages and poorer productivity growth is shifting the global terms of trade, to the advantage of the West, as I pointed out in Bursting the Bubble of Chinese Competitiveness last year. But there are some interesting manufacturing synergies as well, which lie behind General Electric’s decision to move much of its far-flung appliance manufacturing operations back home and Apple' decision to start manufacturing in the US, as this article on the“in-sourcing” boom in the Atlantic explains.
By Martin Fluck | Published: September 27, 2012
What’s been worrying a few investment strategists is the disconnect between stock markets and reality. Forward earning expectations are still unbelievably positive, considering Europe is being sucked into an economic black hole. And that’s after a number of major bellwethers, like FedEx and Caterpillar, have reported bleak earnings outlooks. When Caterpillar warns its sales are going to slump until 2015, it’s saying that we are about to experience a repeat of the 2009 crash, once the true state of the global economy becomes apparent to even the dimmest analyst. Just that this time it could be even worse.
By Mart | Published: June 12, 2012
The EU’s emissions trading scheme could trigger a full scale global aviation trade war within weeks. A total of 30 countries which signed the Moscow Joint Declaration in February – including Russia, India, and the US - have threatened to retaliate. But China has upped the stakes by warning that it is prepared to impound European aircraft, if the EU punishes Chinese airlines for non-compliance, according to Reuters.
By Martin Fluck | Published: May 16, 2012
If a blizzard of awful Chinese economic data isn’t enough to convince you that China is heading into a deflationary slump and the commodity “super-cycle” is coming to an end, then the deepening crisis in the euro-zone should be. That’s because not only will a massive reduction in foreign lending by European banks hurt investment in emerging markets, but supplier economies will be hit disproportionately, as they were post-Lehman.
By Martin Fluck | Published: May 10, 2012
Green Mountain Coffee Roasters was a scandal waiting to happen. There’s been something fishy about their accounting from the outset. The business strategy it was pursuing was a classic example of front-end loading, where revenues and cash flows today are exaggerated in order to fool the unsuspecting investors into thinking that profitability can be maintained. Specifically, they pursued a highly aggressive acquisition strategy to create an illusion of growth. So the fact that their growth has finally cratered shouldn’t come as a surprise to anyone paying the least attention to the game they’ve been playing.
By Martin Fluck | Published: May 5, 2012
Generous solar subsidies were never going to survive in an age of austerity and cheap natural gas. Nowhere is this more apparent than in Germany. Solar energy was supposed to herald a new age of clean energy, and provide thousands of green jobs, but not a single solar manufacturer is expected to survive there. With governments elsewhere, like Italy, also ending their tax payer funded bonanzas, the industry is facing total collapse, globally.
By Martin Fluck | Published: April 28, 2012
Having discovered that there is no viable market for electric cars, global car manufacturers face big losses on their investments. Small plug-in vehicles like the Renault Twizzy may be of some utility in big cities, but barring some breakthrough that overcomes the cost and weight of batteries, fully electric vehicles will remain a niche product for decades to come. The automotive industry is learning the hard way that electric cars are just too darned expensive, and their range too inadequate, to appeal to a mass market.
By Martin Fluck | Published: April 23, 2012
Campaigning for a break-up of the big banks has gone mainstream. If Obama is to win the election, he will have to stand up for the middle class, which is fed up with the unfairness of the present economic system. This means he will have to tackle the concentration of bank power that continues to threaten economic stability. For while the overarching purpose of the Dodd–Frank reforms was to end Too-Big-Too-Fail, it may actually be increasing banking industry concentration and preventing the economic recovery.
By Martin Fluck | Published: April 20, 2012
Germany has been viewed as a safe haven by investors, until now. After all, its export sector has been booming. But investors are beginning to bet against Germany and its manufacturing firms, as a break-up of the euro-zone creeps ever closer. This is because the cost of failure for Germany is growing fast, and the Bundesbank may be trying to force the government’s hand before it digs itself a deeper hole.