Category Archives: Companies

Starbucks makes one of the emptiest threats in the history of business

Starbucks must think the British government is incredibly stupid. This is not necessarily a crazy assumption, but it’s hard to believe that David Cameron is going to abandon his mission to tackle tax-avoidance in Britain by large multinationals just because Starbucks threatens to suspend millions of pounds of investment in Britain.
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Insourcing is All the Rage

Rising wages and poorer productivity growth is shifting the global terms of trade, to the advantage of the West, as I pointed out in Bursting the Bubble of Chinese Competitiveness last year. But there are some interesting manufacturing synergies as well, which lie behind General Electric’s decision to move much of its far-flung appliance manufacturing operations back home and Apple' decision to start manufacturing in the US, as this article on the“in-sourcing” boom in the Atlantic explains.
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Stock Markets Haven’t Begun to Price In the Global Growth Shock

What’s been worrying a few investment strategists is the disconnect between stock markets and reality. Forward earning expectations are still unbelievably positive, considering Europe is being sucked into an economic black hole. And that’s after a number of major bellwethers, like FedEx and Caterpillar, have reported bleak earnings outlooks. When Caterpillar warns its sales are going to slump until 2015, it’s saying that we are about to experience a repeat of the 2009 crash, once the true state of the global economy becomes apparent to even the dimmest analyst. Just that this time it could be even worse.
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Is a Global Aviation Trade War About to Break Out?

The EU’s emissions trading scheme could trigger a full scale global aviation trade war within weeks. A total of 30 countries which signed the Moscow Joint Declaration in February – including Russia, India, and the US - have threatened to retaliate. But China has upped the stakes by warning that it is prepared to impound European aircraft, if the EU punishes Chinese airlines for non-compliance, according to Reuters.
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The Game is Up for the Commodity Super-Cycle as the Yo-Yo Years Begin

If a blizzard of awful Chinese economic data isn’t enough to convince you that China is heading into a deflationary slump and the commodity “super-cycle” is coming to an end, then the deepening crisis in the euro-zone should be. That’s because not only will a massive reduction in foreign lending by European banks hurt investment in emerging markets, but supplier economies will be hit disproportionately, as they were post-Lehman.
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Waking Up to the Whiff of Corruption at Green Mountain Coffee Roasters

Green Mountain Coffee Roasters was a scandal waiting to happen. There’s been something fishy about their accounting from the outset. The business strategy it was pursuing was a classic example of front-end loading, where revenues and cash flows today are exaggerated in order to fool the unsuspecting investors into thinking that profitability can be maintained. Specifically, they pursued a highly aggressive acquisition strategy to create an illusion of growth. So the fact that their growth has finally cratered shouldn’t come as a surprise to anyone paying the least attention to the game they’ve been playing.
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Solar Power Has Been Totally Eclipsed by Gas

Generous solar subsidies were never going to survive in an age of austerity and cheap natural gas. Nowhere is this more apparent than in Germany. Solar energy was supposed to herald a new age of clean energy, and provide thousands of green jobs, but not a single solar manufacturer is expected to survive there. With governments elsewhere, like Italy, also ending their tax payer funded bonanzas, the industry is facing total collapse, globally.
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Buying Into Electric Vehicles Will Cost Auto Firms Dear

Having discovered that there is no viable market for electric cars, global car manufacturers face big losses on their investments. Small plug-in vehicles like the Renault Twizzy may be of some utility in big cities, but barring some breakthrough that overcomes the cost and weight of batteries, fully electric vehicles will remain a niche product for decades to come. The automotive industry is learning the hard way that electric cars are just too darned expensive, and their range too inadequate, to appeal to a mass market.
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To Win the Election, Obama and Romney Must Promise to Break Up the Big Banks

Campaigning for a break-up of the big banks has gone mainstream. If Obama is to win the election, he will have to stand up for the middle class, which is fed up with the unfairness of the present economic system. This means he will have to tackle the concentration of bank power that continues to threaten economic stability. For while the overarching purpose of the Dodd–Frank reforms was to end Too-Big-Too-Fail, it may actually be increasing banking industry concentration and preventing the economic recovery.
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Germany’s Approaching Götterdämmerung

Germany has been viewed as a safe haven by investors, until now. After all, its export sector has been booming. But investors are beginning to bet against Germany and its manufacturing firms, as a break-up of the euro-zone creeps ever closer. This is because the cost of failure for Germany is growing fast, and the Bundesbank may be trying to force the government’s hand before it digs itself a deeper hole.
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